The immediate outcome of our team’s work is expected to be 2 papers: (1)A review paper on the use of GCMs outputs for understanding sea level variations over the 20 th century; (2) A paper on the validation of CMIP5 GCMs against observations of sea level rise over the 20 th century. The longer-term outcome is the publication of several papers that address sea level related problems on the basis of the few GCMs that are consistent with sea level observations over the 20 th century. Examples of these scientific questions include: new sea level projections in 2100 with reduced uncertainties; assessing how the leading modes of sea level variability from validated GCMs help to characterize the internal variability in sea level changes and provide a constraint on the emergent pattern of dynamic sea level change; establishing what the timescales are on which we might expect the patterns associated with Greenland surface mass loss to emerge from the variability in regional sea level; and others…
Scientific Peer-reviewed Paper
1. Melet A. and Meyssignac B., 2015: Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models, Journal of Climate, 28, 9918–9940. >>> pdf
2. Meyssignac, B., Fettweiss, X., Chevrier, R. and Spada, G. (2017). Regional Sea Level Changes for the Twentieth and the Twenty-First Centuries Induced by the Regional Variability in Greenland Ice Sheet Surface Mass Loss, Journal of Climate. >>> pdf
3. Slangen A., Meyssignac B., Church J., Fetweiss X., Agosta C., Ligtenberg S., Melet A., Palmer M., Richter C., Roberts C. and Champollion N, Assessment of the 20th century global mean sea level rise in climate models against observations: Part I, Journal of Climate ,submitted.
4. Meyssignac B., Slangen A., Church J., Fetweiss X., Agosta C., Ligtenberg S., Melet A., Palmer M., Richter C., Roberts C. and Champollion N., Assessment of the 20th century regional sea level rise in climate models against observations: Part II, Journal of Climate ,submitted.
5. Richter K., Even J., Raj R., Bethke I., Johannessen J., Slangen A. and Marzeion, B., Northern North Atlantic sea level in CMIP5 climate models – evaluation of mean state, variability and trends against altimetric observations, Journal of Climate ,submitted.
International Team Meeting Report
1. First Meeting: November 11 – 14, 2014
2. Second Meeting: November 24 – 27, 2015
Outline of 2 papers (see below) is proposed as report of the Second Meeting.
3. Third Meeting: May 31 – June 2, 2017
Report of the Third Meeting is in progress …